'The green building movement will finally emerge into its adult stage and become the dominant paradigm of architecture and development in the West. Twenty years from now what was the gold level of performance in LEED will be the standard level of performance for all buildings in the U.S. and Canada. Multiple examples of the living building will exist, further raising the bar to performance. Most buildings will use 40% to 50% less energy than their counterparts today. The best buildings will use 80% to 90% less energy than their counterparts today and use 50% less water.'
This is a definite! Sustainable design is becoming the dominant paradigm of architecture and will be a significant factor in the architectural world of 2025.
'Biomimicry will emerge as a vibrant specialization in the economy.'
In terms of Architecture, future biomimicry research and designs will assist a world where radical increases in resource efficiency, linear to closed loop systems, and the solar economy become significantly vital to the survival of humanity!
Biomimicry explained more in following TedTalks video:
http://www.ted.com/talks/michael_pawlyn_using_nature_s_genius_in_architecture.html
'The national park system will double in size to protect the few undeveloped areas left in the continent. A worldwide effort at ecosystem sanctuaries will gain momentum.'
Clearly more green spaces will be required in future architectural design.
'Resource scarcity will start to become a serious problem in a large part of the world. Resource based conflicts will erupt in the third world on an increasing scale. The effects of global change will weaken the agriculture and food production systems of the world. The public at large will finally understand the connection between their lifestyles and the effect on the environment. Political parties will start to be influenced to a greater extent by environmental groups.'
This scenario would be a blessing in disguise! All humans (especially those in first worlds with the money and power) must realize our lifestyle impacts onto the environment.. and hopefully political parties will be influenced to make sustainable changes.
'By the end of the second decade photo-voltaics will drop to the point that this power source will be competitive with conventional energy sources. The amount of photo-voltaics and wind turbines will quadruple in use and will start to become a noticeable part of the landscape. Much of the third world will begin to leapfrog over the mistakes of the West.'
Hopefully this prediction is accurate. Hopefully photovoltaics and wind turbines do become a noticeable part of the landscape. Nonetheless although third worlds may leapfrog over the mistakes of the West, first they must be able to develop their own economy.
'The hydrogen economy will become a proven component in many countries around the world. Fuel cells will start to become as ubiquitous as television is today, further transforming society. The major automakers will stop making the internal combustion engine near the end of the second decade as the hydrogen infrastructure is completed.'
The changing of engines will result in a significantly positive effect on the surrounding environment.
'The Greenhouse of the Future' Journal by Alex Frangos Exemplars
Clearly more green spaces will be required in future architectural design.
'Resource scarcity will start to become a serious problem in a large part of the world. Resource based conflicts will erupt in the third world on an increasing scale. The effects of global change will weaken the agriculture and food production systems of the world. The public at large will finally understand the connection between their lifestyles and the effect on the environment. Political parties will start to be influenced to a greater extent by environmental groups.'
This scenario would be a blessing in disguise! All humans (especially those in first worlds with the money and power) must realize our lifestyle impacts onto the environment.. and hopefully political parties will be influenced to make sustainable changes.
'By the end of the second decade photo-voltaics will drop to the point that this power source will be competitive with conventional energy sources. The amount of photo-voltaics and wind turbines will quadruple in use and will start to become a noticeable part of the landscape. Much of the third world will begin to leapfrog over the mistakes of the West.'
Hopefully this prediction is accurate. Hopefully photovoltaics and wind turbines do become a noticeable part of the landscape. Nonetheless although third worlds may leapfrog over the mistakes of the West, first they must be able to develop their own economy.
'The hydrogen economy will become a proven component in many countries around the world. Fuel cells will start to become as ubiquitous as television is today, further transforming society. The major automakers will stop making the internal combustion engine near the end of the second decade as the hydrogen infrastructure is completed.'
The changing of engines will result in a significantly positive effect on the surrounding environment.
'The Greenhouse of the Future' Journal by Alex Frangos Exemplars
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124050414436548553.html
ON THE HOUSE The Rios Clementi Hale Studios house has a garden façade that includes chickpeas, tomatoes and other plants. The plants also provide shade and cooling. A rooftop reservoir collects water and keeps the building cool, while rooftop windmills generate energy.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124050414436548553.html
BRANCHING OUT William McDonough + Partners envisions its house like a tree. The "bark" of the house is made up of thin, insulating films that would self-clean and self-heal if damaged. A curved roof with large eaves provides shade, which lowers the heat load in summer. The "trunk," or the frame of the home, consists of carbon tubes, while the "roots" are a heat-pump system buried in the yard.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124050414436548553.html
UNDER MY SKIN Cook + Fox's house reacts to the weather, turning dark in the bright sun to insulate the house from heat and turning clear on dark days to absorb light and heat. The façade also captures rain and condensation to fill the household's water needs. Inside, walls and furniture are on rollers to take advantage of the fact that some spaces, such as bedrooms, are underutilized most of the day.
Personally, the Under My Skin design is my favourite and incorporates a design aspect I already had in mind. Imagine a street of large rectangular glass houses. Inside these greenhouses are homes/rooms. The space inside does not require roofing systems or even windows as a result of the outer shell providing shade and shelter from the surrounding environment! The concept of the outer shell facade turning darker as the day gets hotter to cool the interior is one of the aspects I shall incorporate into my suburban design. The outer shell will also act as PhotoVoltaic windows, capturing the majority of sunlight energy as it passes through into the interior structure.
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